{"id":127915,"date":"2025-11-28T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-28T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/marinresists.com\/?p=127915"},"modified":"2025-11-28T08:04:56","modified_gmt":"2025-11-28T16:04:56","slug":"the-maga-voter-split-that-could-spell-trouble-for-2028-republicans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2025\/11\/28\/maga-trump-voters-divide-00670647","title":{"rendered":"The MAGA voter split that could spell trouble for 2028 Republicans"},"content":{"rendered":"

President Donald Trump has held his coalition together throughout much of the first year of his second term in office like few other figures could \u2014 albeit at times with bailing twine and a red MAGA cap \u2014 but cracks are starting to show, according to the latest results from The POLITICO Poll.<\/p>\n

And it\u2019s clear whoever tries to pick up the MAGA mantle ahead of 2028 has some serious work to do to keep the coalition together.<\/p>\n

For starters, a significant portion of 2024 Trump voters \u2014 more than a third \u2014 do not consider themselves to be MAGA Republicans. And not only are they less loyal to Trump than self-identified MAGA Republicans, the poll suggests some of them have already begun to turn on him: Non-MAGA Trump voters are much more likely to blame Trump for the state of the economy, say he has too much power and be pessimistic about the future.<\/p>\n

The results underscore just how sui generis<\/i> the cohort that reelected Trump was \u2014 and foreshadow the GOP\u2019s coming challenges.<\/p>\n

More than half of Trump\u2019s voters last year \u2014 55 percent \u2014 describe themselves as MAGA, but a critical 38 percent do not, according to the survey, which comprised 2,098 U.S. adults online and was conducted Nov. 14-17, with a margin of sampling error at plus-or-minus 2 percentage points.<\/p>\n

And it\u2019s here where the fissures start to emerge: Among those self-described MAGA voters, 47 percent say the current economy still belongs fully to Biden, compared to just 26 percent of non-MAGA Trump 2024 voters.<\/p>\n

This divide becomes even starker on areas Republicans typically don\u2019t own, like health care, where the White House is struggling to forge a path to extend expiring Affordable Care Act subsidies: 85 percent of MAGA Trump voters trust Republicans more to bring down health care costs, whereas just 55 percent of non-MAGA do \u2014 with 19 percent instead trusting Democrats and 27 percent saying they don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n

When it comes to trusting a given party on the economy, 88 percent of those MAGA voters back Republicans generally; but only 63 percent of non-MAGA Trump voters support Republicans, with 28 percent saying neither party or don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n

On affordability, the issue that Trump has said delivered him the election, and the one his own White House deputy chief of staff James Blair has said he will be \u201cvery focused on<\/a>,\u201d non-MAGA Republicans are more concerned by the cost of living than their MAGA counterparts: 59 percent to 48 percent.<\/p>\n

Among the other findings centering on the economy:<\/i><\/p>\n